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[Ebook.etcs] Calculated Risks How to Know When Numbers Deceive You

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Amazon.com ReviewIn the tradition of Innumeracy by John Allen Paulos, German scientist Gerd Gigerenzer offers his own take on numerical illiteracy. "In Western countries, most children learn to read and write, but even in adulthood, many people do not know how to think with numbers," he writes. "I focus on the most important form of innumeracy in everyday life, statistical innumeracy--that is, the inability to reason about uncertainties and risk." The author wisely uses concrete examples from the real world to make his points, and he shows the devastating impact of this problem. In one example, he describes a surgeon who advised many of his patients to accept prophylactic mastectomies in order to dodge breast cancer. In a two-year period, this doctor convinced 90 "high-risk" women without cancer to sacrifice their breasts "in a heroic exchange for the certainty of saving their lives and protecting their loved ones from suffering and loss." But Gigerenzer shows that the vast majority of these women (84 of them, to be exact) would not have developed breast cancer at all. If the doctor or his patients had a better understanding of probabilities, they might have chosen a different course. Fans of Innumeracy will enjoy Calculated Risks, as will anyone who appreciates a good puzzle over numbers. --John Miller Lloyd's And Mr Ponzi - Truth About Lloyds The most infamous fraudster in the history of the United States was Mr Ponzi He was convicted of operating a massive investment scheme in which he offered Environment: News & features - The Telegraph 05 Mar 2017 6:00pm Reunited after three years apart - the tears of a mother whose children were lost in the horrors of war-torn South Sudan but now are found A new approach to management control: Dynamic Management A new approach to management control: Dynamic Management by Matthew Leitch 13 November 2002 version 12 Why? Have you noticed that things at work don't often work Atheism - creationcom There is confusion and debate about the term atheism and its definition The term atheism finds its etymology in the Greek combination of a and Auction - Wikipedia There are traditionally four types of auction that are used for the allocation of a single item: English auction also known as an open ascending price auction Insect - Wikipedia Etymology The word "insect" comes from the Latin word insectum meaning "with a notched or divided body" or literally "cut into" from the neuter singular perfect The Mysterious Origins of Man - Top Documentary Films What a load of BS This documentary is pathetic I dont even know where to start but lets just say anyone who takes any of this serioucly needs to have a hard look at Congressional Testimony: Immigration Reforms Needed to Testimony of EPI Research Associate and Associate Professor of Public Policy at Howard University Ron Hira before the US Senate Judiciary Committee hearing on Eritrean Opposition Goal For PFDJ: Death By 1000 Cuts Awate Greeting Semere Tesfay your quotation about Eritrean (jihadist and islamist) if you wish you can elaborate You write about Muslim in context of national security The 31 Benefits of Gratitude You Didnt Know About: How The 31 Benefits of Gratitude You Didnt Know About: How Gratitude Can Change Your Life by Amit Amin
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